Latin America is generally understood to consist of the entire continent of South America in addition to Mexico, Central America, and the islands of the Caribbean whose inhabitants speak a Romance language. Share this article: By: Carla Almeida. The desire to promote civil society and human rights will cause friction in the government-to-government relationship, as does Cuba's involvement in Venezuela. The trick will be to raise them in a way that does not provide an opening for Trump to stoke the ire of his former ally. Sabatini: The goals of a Biden policy will remain the same as under Trump: a transition that removes Maduro and his corrupt cronies from power and establishes the country on the path toward democracy and broad based, stable economic growth. Latinvex interviews four Latin America experts on what to expect from the next US president. Biden has no illusions that Maduro is a ruthless dictator who has committed crimes against humanity and has so far failed to negotiate in good faith. Christoper Sabatini, senior fellow for Latin America at Chatham House.Pamela K. Starr, Director of the U.S.-Mexico Network, the University of Southern California (USC). Arnson: It is likely that, in the interest of supporting the Cuban people, a Biden administration will allow Cuban-Americans in the United States to send remittances to family members on the island. Shifter: On Cuba, Biden is likely to proceed cautiously. Unlike Trump's regional agenda, which has focused narrowly on migration, drugs and Venezuela – issues that suited the president's political interests – Biden's priorities will be shaped by public policy considerations, in an effort to advance US interests and values. At the same time, a Biden administration will be more willing to call out and even punish human rights abusing regimes more even-handedly, such as Honduras, Brazil and El Salvador. Expert analysis on everything from politics and business to international relations. : As the AMLO-Trump axis ends, the multifaceted areas in which the US must work with its southern neighbor, will become more nuanced. For Biden, the destruction of the Amazon will be a fundamental concern on the US-Brazil agenda. senior fellow for Latin America at Chatham House. Argentina to debate new bank note showing Maradona goal against England, Mexico ignores WHO advice to get 'serious' as coronavirus cases and deaths rise, Venezuela heads to polls in parliamentary election with Juan Guaidó boycotting the vote, Juan Guaido prepares to lose his seat in Venezuela - and his freedom, Cuba faces dilemma after rare protests triggered by social media, Argentina police free 70 members of female-led Christian cult that kidnapped poor children across the country, Brazil Amazon deforestation rises to highest level in over a decadeÂ, Argentine prosecutors probe Diego Maradona's death, 'He gave us a kind of joy that no one else did': Devastated Argentinians mourn the loss of Diego Maradona, Thousands attack Brazil supermarket amid violent protests after black man beaten to death by security guard, Argentinian victim of domestic abuse given ex-partner's job in 'reparation' ruling, US to drop charges against former Mexican defense minister arrested in Los Angeles last month, Three protesters killed as thousands of  Peruvians rally against President, 'All of Peru is fired up': Protests erupt across country after popular president ousted, Peru ousts President Martin Vizcarra in impeachment vote, Diego Maradona undergoes brain surgery for blood clotÂ, Record number of rare turtles born as pandemic brings respite on Mexico beach, Early count has Chileans voting in favour of scrapping Pinochet-era constitution, Oxford coronavirus vaccine trial continuing after death of volunteer in Brazil, Psychological trauma of longest lockdown mounts in Buenos Aires as Argentina passes 1m cases, Drawing of a huge cat discovered in Peru's Nazca hills, Argentina to produce climate-resistant super wheat in world first, Evo Morales' former aide claims early victory in Bolivian election less than one year after former boss ousted, Churches torched on anniversary of protests in Chile, Trump's other wall: How the US president quietly won his war on migration, Peru opens Machu Picchu for a Japanese tourist who waited seven months to see Inca ruins. For one, there will be a greater emphasis on collaboration and coordination, whether on matters of development assistance--especially important in the midst of the COVID-economic contraction and the unprecedented growth in poverty--or promoting a peaceful transition in Venezuela or on checking China's influence in the region. US-Latin American relations will become more diverse and balanced under a Biden administration. : Environmental issues will come to the fore, given the unbridled destruction of the Amazon as a result of policies promoted by Bolsonaro. A perfect storm: How did one city lose so many to Covid-19? Press Release Latin America Cloud Infrastructure Market 2020 Global Analysis, Opportunities And Forecast To 2025 Published: Oct. 6, 2020 at … Traditional parameters and norms of foreign policy will return. Further support to Cuba will probably depend in great measure on the regime taking meaningful steps to open up economically and politically. Second, the Biden administration will place greater emphasis on development in migrant-sending countries, particularly in the Northern Triangle; this will be particularly important as rising poverty and the effects of extreme weather, such as the hurricane Eta, will increase the push factor for migration, but of course it's also important for US's image. Issues such as climate change and the environment, which have been absent over the past four years, will occupy an important place on the inter-American agenda. But since under the new administration the military option will not be on the table, there needs to be a more serious, hard-headed approach to pursue a negotiated settlement. How will US-Latin American relations change under the Biden presidency? Paseo de los periodistas #52. : There will be a number of changes in tone and approach to the region. Biden will use economic sanctions strategically, not merely to punish Maduro for the sake of doing so, but to find a solution. As Latin America boasted the region with the best car sales uptick last year, let's look at its emerging production centers and the brands which have built up their networks in the wake of globalization. Nor do I expect the broad relationship will suffer from the perception in democratic circles that AMLO supports Trump (This reflects AMLO's decision to visit the White House in the middle of the campaign (and the pandemic) and his post-election refusal to congratulate Biden on his election victory until it is official). : It's important to keep expectations in check. Comprehensive national accounts data from across the region confirmed that Latin America’s recovery lost steam at the start of the year. Sabatini: There will be a number of changes in tone and approach to the region. Cynthia Arnson, Director of the Latin America Program at the Woodrow Wilson International Center. Regarding the latter while the Trump administration was correct in raising concerns about China's intentions in the hemisphere, the threats came with few incentives to change course and often appeared heavy handed and condescending. The Oscars 2021 submissions from Latin America are: Ventana Sur line-up showcases emerging Latin American filmmakers. Unfortunately, the Biden administration will have to start over. Whether it is prepared to do so is a major question. Trade is an area that is less defined. Arnson: Environmental issues will come to the fore, given the unbridled destruction of the Amazon as a result of policies promoted by Bolsonaro. Share. Will Biden be more critical of Mexico’s discrimination against US investors, especially in the energy sector? With Joe Biden assuming the US presidency on January 20, 2021, US policy towards Latin America is expected to change. Trump's preferred tools of threats and punishments will give way to a greater emphasis on diplomacy, cooperation and multilateralism. : Overall, the relationship will become more normal, returning to a relationship based more on institutional interactions and less on personal interactions. Maduro is stronger today than he was in January 2019 when Juan Guaido became interim president. Finally, should immigration from and through Mexico pick up this spring as everyone expects, it is likely to once again become a point of contention between the two governments. There will certainly be a new tone in the relationship--one that is more respectful and collaborative--along with an emphasis on democratic values:  transparency, responsiveness to citizens, human rights. Latinvex: How will US-Latin American relations change under a Biden presidency? Growing refurbishment and renovation coupled with a rising number of construction activities are the significant factors driving the market In terms of issues, the trade relationship will be much more stable and productive, and there is an opening for the two countries to cooperate on a development plan for the Northern Triangle of Central America (and Southern Mexico), although neither country's budget will allow for a large amount of money to be dedicated to this task. It remains to be seen how hard the US, working in concert with European governments, will push Bolsonaro, and to what extent he will be prepared to accommodate and adjust to US pressure to take meaningful steps to curb deforestation. Mexico becoming poorer as Panama remains region’s richest. Unlike Trump's regional agenda, which has focused narrowly on migration, drugs and Venezuela – issues that suited the president's political interests – Biden's priorities will be shaped by public policy considerations, in an effort to advance US interests and values. According to a new report by EMR titled, 'Latin America Renewable Energy Market Size, Share, Growth, Trends, Analysis 2020-2025', the industry in Latin America is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.13% in the forecast period of 2020-2025. Biden, who as US vice president visited Latin America 16 times, is closely familiar with the region. Biden and his Latin American team will strive to maintain a working relationship, but progress on trade and other issues of interest to Brazil will no doubt be conditioned on efforts to curb deforestation. It focuses on the market dynamics, technological trends, and insights on various materials, application, and process types. Latin America Healthcare System Overview: A comparative analysis of fiscal space in healthcare . The new administration will be consumed by domestic priorities--containing and overcoming the pandemic and reactivating the U.S. economy--and other international issues--Afghanistan, Iran, China, etc.--will dominate the foreign policy agenda, as in the past. Sabatini: As the AMLO-Trump axis ends, the multifaceted areas in which the US must work with its southern neighbor, will become more nuanced. Biden is both too professional and too aware of Mexico's importance to the United States for this to happen. It is clear that the Trump approach of maximum pressure, including harsh economic sanctions, has not worked and has in fact only worsened the country's humanitarian catastrophe. President Jair Bolsonaro will miss President Trump. But Biden has a longstanding personal interest in the region, with significant experience, both as Vice President and Senator, concerning Central America and Colombia. BY JOACHIM BAMRUD . Whether there is a willing partner in the Venezuelan government remains to be seen. For Biden, the destruction of the Amazon will be a fundamental concern on the US-Brazil agenda. Latinvex: How do you expect Biden to change US-Brazil relations? But Cuba's social and economic conditions, aggravated by the pandemic and Venezuela's utter collapse, have deteriorated significantly, so the regime may have few options. Through executive decisions, he will lift restrictions on flows of remittances and ease travel of Cuban Americans, chiefly on humanitarian grounds. Starr: Overall, the relationship will become more normal, returning to a relationship based more on institutional interactions and less on personal interactions. Shifter: President Jair Bolsonaro will miss President Trump. Arnson: It's important to keep expectations in check. Latin America and The Caribbean. Trade is an area that is less defined. Infrastructure plans imperil Latin America’s forests: Analysis. Latin America Analysis: Environmental policy and deforestation. Now, epidemiologists want to know why, Nicolas Maduro and his government is fighting in the London courts to access £800 million in gold bullion held by the Bank of England, This year's fire season has broken records after an abnormally long drought and increasing levels of illegal deforestation, Nicolás Escobar said 'a vision' inspired him to look for the money, Attempt to raffle the plane during the country’s Independence holiday ended in predictable disaster, The regime is responsible for arbitrary killings and the systematic use of torture, the report says, Chinese ships reportedly disable their trackers as they target local squid populations, a key part of the food chain for other fish species. Biden has no illusions that Maduro is a ruthless dictator who has committed crimes against humanity and has so far failed to negotiate in good faith. Issues such as Brazil's treatment of women and minorities, such as indigenous and LGBT communities, will also be part of the bilateral conversation with Biden and Harris in charge of US policy. After finishing 2019 with lower-than-expected growth, the region’s recovery should reach 1.4% for this year and 2.1% for next year. Sabatini: Given the bromance between Trump and Bolsonaro, bilateral relations will remain attenuated at a personal level. Bouts of civil unrest are common in Latin America, but 2019 saw a serious bucking of the regional trend. This report is commissioned via LSE Consulting which was set up by the London School of Economics and Political Science to enable and facilitate the application of its academic expertise and intellectual resources. Analysis. His transition team includes Roberta Jacobson, who served as US Assistant Secretary of State for Western Hemisphere Affairs from 2012 to 2016 and US ambassador to Mexico from 2016 to 2018. Whether it is prepared to do so is a major question. There will certainly be a new tone in the relationship--one that is more respectful and collaborative--along with an emphasis on democratic values:  transparency, responsiveness to citizens, human rights. Five months later Latin America has been shaken by a humanitarian disaster that will inflict years of uncertainty and hardship on a land already in a profound state of flux. Racial tensions and internal violence in 1980’s Peru. The peoples of this large area shared the experience of conquest and colonization by the Shifter: US-Latin American relations will become more diverse and balanced under a Biden administration. Latin America. Lastly, … The Cuban-American vote in November 3 elections demonstrates that the Biden administration will have a longer hill to climb to get to the point where the Obama administration enjoyed relatively broad support -- save in a few corners -- for its Cuba policies at the end of 2014. The in-depth analysis provides an insight into the Latin America software-as-a-service (SaaS) market , underlining the growth rate and opportunities offered in the business. Culture, Music, Film, Photography November 26, 2020. The two leaders have a strong ideological and temperamental affinity. Latin America faces some big challenges in 2020. With Biden we are likely to see increased attention and additional resources devoted to address Venezuela's dire humanitarian situation, both within the country and also to assist the over 5 million Venezuelan migrants and refugees who fled to neighboring countries. Director of the U.S.-Mexico Network, the University of Southern California (USC). The process of normalization that took place during the Obama years is not likely to be revisited any time soon, although ambassadors could once again be exchanged. Latin America Basketball News, Latin American basketball, Latin America Basketball News, news, stats, standings, scores That being said, a Biden Administration is unlikely to do any special favors for AMLO. Director of the Latin America Program at the Woodrow Wilson International Center. And there will undoubtedly be initiatives to bolster clean energy transitions in the fight against climate change. Latin America: Maersk Weathers COVID Storm, Mexico: President More Radical, Investor-Hostile, Latin America: Bank Profits Grew Last Year, Latin America Energy & Projects: The COVID-19 Impact, Arbitration: Mixed Outlook for Colombia, Peru, Colombia & COVID-19: More Labor, Restructuring Work, COVID-19 & Latin America: More Arbitration, Covid-19 & Latin America: Colombia Best Outlook, M&As: Brazil Jumps 33% , Latin America Falls 28%, Latin America & Coronavirus: Impact on Law Firms, CEOs Upbeat About Brazil, Less So on Mexico, Argentina, Latin America Insurance:  Winners & Losers, Latin America: Profits Surge, But Pemex Lags, Latin America: Multinational Revenues Fall 1%, ICSID: Dechert, Freshfields Advise Glencore Dispute, Latin America: Arbitration & Litigation Outlook, Latin America: Panama Richest, Argentina Declines, Mexico Energy: Investors Hesitate Over AMLO, Latin America M&As: Latham & Watkins Leads, Mexico Capital Markets: Uncertain Outlook, SAP Gets First Female Latin America President. an associate vice president with the Cohen Group who served as deputy assistant secretary of state for Western Hemisphere Affairs); How will US-Latin American relations change under the Biden presidency? Latinvex: Will Biden lift Cuba sanctions? Arnson: The Trump administration policy of achieving regime change or a democratic transition through a massive pressure campaign of crippling economic sanctions has not achieved the desired results. FLeet LaTAm. In line with global developments, governments in the region are taking decisive steps to foster hydrogen’s potential as a key component of their clean energy transitions and a source of export revenues. Biden will use economic sanctions strategically, not merely to punish Maduro for the sake of doing so, but to find a solution. Adoption of new technologies such as Internet of Things, Big Data, improvised mobility, cost efficacy, minimum environmental impact and uptake in … Analysis Introduction. At the onset of the year, nine of the region’s 10 largest economies sat in the extreme- or high-risk category of our Civil Unrest Index.The only outlier was Chile. Download the Report Military engagement is an important and officially acknowledged part of the growing interactions between the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and Latin America and the Caribbean. It also analyzes the major players and the competitive landscape in the Latin American textile industry. Concerns about democracy, human rights, and corruption will extend beyond Venezuela, Cuba and Nicaragua. The Biden administration will have a much harder time implementing its policy in South America without Brazil's cooperation. We urge you to turn off your ad blocker for The Telegraph website so that you can continue to access our quality content in the future. Issues such as climate change and the environment, which have been absent over the past four years, will occupy an important place on the inter-American agenda. Analysis - Latin America and The Caribbean - 10th Edition - 2019 - GCB. Latin America was viewed as being outside of ordinary experiences. Indeed, Biden's broader clean energy focus of his Latin American policy will directly conflict with AMLO's petroleum-based energy strategy. Regional GDP increased a moderate 1.6% year-on-year in the first quarter, matching last month’s preliminary reading and marking a slowdown from the fourth quarter’s 2.0% … Biden has also signaled his intent to increase funding for Central America's Northern Triangle, to address the root causes of migration. Will Biden lift Cuba sanctions? Biden is both too professional and too aware of Mexico's importance to the United States for this to happen. Rather, a Biden administration will seek to turn the sanctions regime -- which the Trump administration did correctly use as a tool to punish the regime and individuals but never leveraged for incremental policy changes -- to cooperate for the long overdue use of broader collective sanctions and the 'flexibilization' of specific sanctions to incentivize forward movement -- by individuals and by the government -- on concrete improvements in human rights and political change. Shifter: Biden is likely to seriously rethink US policy towards Venezuela. : Given the bromance between Trump and Bolsonaro, bilateral relations will remain attenuated at a personal level. Third, the overwhelming emphasis on [former Trump national security advisor John] Bolton's too cutely-titled 'troika of tyranny' will be toned down to bring along other countries in international efforts to sanction and incentivize change in the to use another Bolton alliteration 'triangle of terrorism.' But many in the Biden camp have been disappointed that the Cuban government failed to take advantage of President Obama's engagement approach five years ago. Or at least ease US-Cuba restrictions? ... what will be necessary is learning how to reconcile the increasing demand for food and agribusiness concerns in Latin America, with the global need to maintain biodiversity and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The Biden administration will have a much harder time implementing its policy in South America without Brazil's cooperation. Latin America has enjoyed a long history of regional cooperation, ever since most countries won their independence 200 years ago. With Biden we are likely to see increased attention and additional resources devoted to address Venezuela's dire humanitarian situation, both within the country and also to assist the over 5 million Venezuelan migrants and refugees who fled to neighboring countries. Part of that is the Democrats failure to maintain the narrative of why the Cuba changes made sense in the creating the seeds for peaceful political change and human rights in Cuba that mainstream Republicans and Democrats seek. Latinvex: Will Biden be more critical of Mexico’s discrimination against US investors, especially in the energy sector? Biden has also signaled his intent to increase funding for Central America's Northern Triangle, to address the root causes of migration. The 2021 outlook for airlines in Latin America depends on where you’re looking. For a full list of references, please contact the author . This report aims to provide a detailed analysis of the textile industry in Latin America. And there will undoubtedly be initiatives to bolster clean energy transitions in the fight against climate change. The 2008 and 2016 Chinese policy white papers toward Latin America, as well as the 2015 China Defense … With an administration no longer loath to offend its southern neighbor so as not to upset its inhumane immigration practices, Biden's policy toward Mexico will be more free to deepen economic relations and protect US interests, including those of investors. Latin American News Digest follows more than one hundred newspapers and magazines, and brings the best, and most important, material to you from Latin America. Venezuela – which ranked as Latin America’s second-richest country in 1998 – is set to become the region’s poorest next year, according to a Latinvex analysis of new data and projections from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).. 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